Thursday, June 25, 2009

Economics 25/06/2009: Unemployment and IMF

While many of you are wondering where is my comment on last night's IMF report, I must ask you for your infinite patience - it is forthcoming in this week's Sunday Times and I will be posting more on the issue over time.


In the meantime, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reports today that the real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- decreased at an annual rate of 5.5% in the first quarter of 2009, (that is, from the fourth quarter to the first quarter), according to final estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP decreased 6.3%.

I can see our strategy to wait for Americans to turn around working... thanks to the Irish Government tough choices on policy side, US GDP contractions are flattening out. Happy times are just around the corner.

Of course, one cannot suggest that the Irish Government is not doing more than just help the Americans in their troubles. Indeed, hat tip to BL, Politics.ie have the following itinerary for our Dear Leader of Offaly, Knight of the Bogs and Lord of the Bord Na Mona Mansions:
23.06.09:
  • Brian Cowen attends the official re-opening of Shinrone National School, Birr, Co. Offaly
  • Brian Cowen raises the First Green Flag at Coolderry Central School, Birr, Co. Offaly; and
  • Brian Cowen attends the Official Opening of Isotron Ireland’s new Electron Beam Sterilisation Facility, at Tullamore, Co. Offaly
Of course, Mary Coughlan, the Grand Dame of Diplomatic Etiquette and the Lady of Jobs Announcements Junkets was equally busy jet-setting across the nation to announce jobs:
  • 45 at Boston Scientific plant in Galway (after cutting 240 jobs in Galway last August and as another motor trade company sheds 70 jobs in Galway the same day as Mrs Coughlan arrived there);
  • alongside Gaeltacht Minister Eamon "Gimme More Subsidies" O'Cuiv visiting west Donegal today to assess the damage caused by flash floods (I didn't know the DETE is also responsible for emergency services in this country); but
  • Flooding aside, she did have a chance to pull an unveiling string at the launch in Finnabair Business Park in Dundalk...
All in the day's work for Tanaiste, directly responsible for dealing with our soaring unemployment rate (on the exact day when CSO unveiled the latest unemployment data from QNHS).
Of course, neither Biffalo-Gruffalo, nor Scary-Mary are much of the IMF/Economic Policy men (women), so why not let poor rookie, Brian Lenihan deal with the opposition fire on the issue of yesterday's damming report? Afterall, as the US data shows, things are already getting better (by getting worse at a slightly slower pace than before)... "The heart attack patient has no pulse, Doctor," shouts the nurse. "Excellent, things have bottomed out then," retorts Dr Biffalo, "Pints!"

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

There's an element of a graveyard spiral here. I suspect the next politically disgestable cut will be infrastructure. Anyway, we already have too much electrictity generation (demand 30% down)and maybe the roads are a bit too empty. As for health services, I can see private health services which depended on discretionary spend melting away as well. The only jobs available will be in the public area. All we need now is wholesale dumping of rubbish by the roadside just to show we do not need to collect the stuff any more.

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